DailyFX


Risk Sentiment in Full View as Israel-Iran Conflict is Likely to Continue


Published: Wednesday April 17, 2024 @ 09:49 EDT
Duration: 11.13 minutes
Views: 178
Likes: 5
Favorite: 0
Description: Risk assets, like the S&P 500, have printed the deepest pullback witnessed throughout the latest bull run as concerns around a broader Middle East conflict build and The Fed appears more likely to delay rate cuts due to stubborn inflation. Escalating geopolitical tensions due to Iran’s preparation for an Israeli attack, following conflict involving drone strikes. This uncertainty, coupled with unexpected inflation directions contrary to Federal Reserve hopes, has prompted a stronger dollar, negatively impacting equity markets like the S&P 500. The Fed's revised forecast suggests fewer interest rate cuts, intensifying market concerns. Additionally, U.K. economic data indicating rising unemployment but stubborn wage inflation presents challenges for the Bank of England. Inflation levels surpassing estimates have influenced the British pound, while speculation about Japanese yen intervention at the 155 dollar-yen level adds to market volatility. Gold remains resilient, supported by central bank and retail purchases amidst geopolitical and economic uncertainty.


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Risk Assets Under Pressure From Growing Middle East Tensions


Published: Tuesday April 16, 2024 @ 09:44 EDT
Duration: 10.07 minutes
Views: 121
Likes: 4
Favorite: 0
Description: US equity markets fell sharply Monday as traders took risk off the table. The impact of Middle East tensions between Iran and Israel on U.S. indices, which experienced sharp sell-offs. Amidst this risk-off environment, assets like gold and the U.S. dollar retained strength. Key economic data were mentioned, including higher-than-expected Chinese Q1 GDP, rising UK unemployment figures signaling potential rate cuts by the Bank of England, improved German and Eurozone economic sentiment, and various inflation updates on the horizon. Corley also noted marked volatility in equity markets, with particular emphasis on tech-heavy indices, and discussed currency movements, pointing out the strong dollar trend and potential Japanese intervention in the yen market. Investors were advised to monitor safe-haven assets and the VIX for insights into market sentiment.

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Risk Sentiment Improves Despite Major Geopolitical Uncertainty: Gold, USD, SPX


Published: Monday April 15, 2024 @ 11:17 EDT
Duration: 12.48 minutes
Views: 196
Likes: 11
Favorite: 0
Description: Gold and the dollar stabalise at elevated levels while EU stocks attempt a recovery. The S&P 500 is expected to open higher to start the week and USD/JPY approaches a massively significant marker.
The impact of geopolitical tensions, notably between Israel and Iran, and their repercussions on financial markets. He notes a bullish continuation in the US dollar, influenced by better-than-expected US retail sales and CPI data, indicating potential recovery from 2023's decline. The two-year Treasury yield mirrors this recovery, touching back near 5%. Moreover, the weakening Japanese yen against the dollar draws attention, nearing intervention levels at 155. Gold experiences volatility, with prices potentially consolidating after a significant uptick, while cable (GBP/USD) shows a notable decline, moving out of its trading range. Lastly, despite geopolitical uncertainties, European indices and the S&P 500 futures hint at a positive start, closely watching for developments in the Israel-Iran situation and their impacts on markets.

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GBP Outlook | Bank of England's Surprise Move: Interest Rate Cuts Ahead


Published: Saturday April 13, 2024 @ 18:00 EDT
Duration: 1.87 minutes
Views: 181
Likes: 7
Favorite: 0
Description: The Bank of England hinting at a potential 25 basis point interest rate cut in June due to decreasing inflation and a stable job market, despite slow growth. This move aligns with possible cuts by the US Fed and the European Central Bank. The British pound is expected to slightly weaken short-term against the US dollar and the euro but may stabilize later. Against the Japanese yen, the pound might depreciate as the yen appreciates.

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EUR Outlook | ECB's June Meeting: A Turning Point for the Euro


Published: Friday April 12, 2024 @ 18:00 EDT
Duration: 3.02 minutes
Views: 167
Likes: 5
Favorite: 0
Description: The European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to cut interest rates and unwind its restrictive monetary policy starting in June, responding to persistently weak growth within the eurozone. ECB President Christina Lagarde hinted at a data-dependent approach, with the decision likely influenced by additional data available by the June meeting. The eurozone's largest economy, Germany, is projected to have minimal GDP growth. Anticipated rate cuts in June and possibly July aim to stimulate growth; these moves may lead to the euro weakening against other major currencies as central banks, including the Fed and the Bank of England, also plan rate adjustments. The resulting currency volatility will make Q2 an interesting period for financial markets, with implications for euro-dollar, euro-sterling, and euro-yen pairs.

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US Dollar, Gold on the Move Ahead of a UK Data-Focused Week


Published: Friday April 12, 2024 @ 09:15 EDT
Duration: 16.32 minutes
Views: 275
Likes: 9
Favorite: 0
Description: US CPI has propelled the dollar and US yields higher and clearly had no effect on gold prices. In the week ahead we take a look at possible easing in GBP/USD which is contingent on softer UK inflation and wage data.

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ECB Holds Rates Steady: Prelude to a June Cut #trading #financialmarkets #fx


Published: Thursday April 11, 2024 @ 10:36 EDT
Duration: 0.98 minutes
Views: 91
Likes: 7
Favorite: 0
Description: In the ECB's April meeting, rates were left unchanged, signaling a potential rate cut in June if economic conditions warrant it. This decision highlights a divergence between Eurozone's easing monetary policy and the US's stance, which may continue tightening due to inflation pressures and strong economic growth. This contrast could influence global financial markets, hinting at varied investment strategies for those monitoring adjustments in interest rates between major economies.

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US Equities Q2 Forecast: Riding on Rate Cut Hopes


Published: Wednesday April 10, 2024 @ 18:00 EDT
Duration: 3.63 minutes
Views: 109
Likes: 7
Favorite: 0
Description: US equities are projected to continue their strong performance into the second quarter, buoyed by expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts and a thriving interest in AI and tech stocks. The market is witnessing a broadening appeal, with a significant portion of S&P 500 stocks trading above their 200-day moving averages, indicating a wider market upturn. Record inflows into equity funds in March underscore investor confidence, which is expected to persist. The upcoming election year could further boost stocks, aligning with historical patterns of positive performance during re-election periods. However, potential risks such as a resurgence in inflation, geopolitical tensions, and a weakening job market could temper this bullish outlook.

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March CPI Data Shocks Economists: Prices Keep Rising


Published: Wednesday April 10, 2024 @ 11:41 EDT
Duration: 1.82 minutes
Views: 157
Likes: 6
Favorite: 0
Description: U.S. inflation, with March's CPI data surpassing expectations on both core and headline measures, defying seasonal effects explanations. This growing trend suggests inflation remains persistent and potentially escalating, pressuring the Fed to possibly adopt a more hawkish stance. Gasoline prices are contributing to the rise, alongside solid payroll and PCE data indicating robust economic activity. The U.S. dollar's strength is expected to persist, affecting EUR/USD and USD/JPY pairs, while equity markets experience volatility amidst anticipation of solid earnings growth, which could support market resilience.

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Dollar Outlook Q2: Why It Remains Strong


Published: Tuesday April 09, 2024 @ 18:00 EDT
Duration: 3.80 minutes
Views: 169
Likes: 10
Favorite: 0
Description: The outlook for the U.S. dollar in Q2 is cautiously optimistic, buoyed by its status as a safe haven and positive interest rate differentials against G7/G10 currencies. Despite a moderating U.S. economy, relative competitiveness and potential delays in Fed rate cuts due to robust growth or unexpected inflation hikes support a strong dollar. However, swift inflation declines, economic downturns, or job market slumps could weaken it. Currency pairs like EUR/USD may face pressure from Eurozone stagnation and anticipated ECB rate cuts, GBP/USD could strengthen with declining UK inflation, while USD/JPY remains watchful for Tokyo's FX interventions against widening interest rate differentials.

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Bitcoin's Q2 Surge: Beyond \$74,000 with Halving and ETF


Published: Monday April 08, 2024 @ 10:44 EDT
Duration: 2.65 minutes
Views: 292
Likes: 10
Favorite: 0
Description: The second quarter of 2024 looks promising for Bitcoin, following its surge to a new high near $74,000, driven mainly by the introduction of spot Bitcoin ETFs. The upcoming "halving" event, a programmed reduction in mining rewards, is anticipated to exacerbate the supply-demand imbalance. This reduction will halve the reward for mining Bitcoin, potentially escalating its value further due to reduced supply. Additionally, the potential approval of spot Ethereum ETFs by the SEC could influence market dynamics. With these factors in play, Bitcoin, along with other cryptocurrencies, may experience continued upward pressure on prices, though volatility remains uncertain.
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Escalating Conflict Raises Prospect of Safe Haven Appeal


Published: Wednesday April 03, 2024 @ 09:56 EDT
Duration: 13.95 minutes
Views: 370
Likes: 8
Favorite: 0
Description: Ukraine targets Russian oil infrastructure and promises of an Iranian retaliation to Israel's targeted strike may limit risk appetite this week, keeping gold buoyed ahead of NFP.

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FX Intervention Threat Turns up a Notch and Commodities Shine Ahead of PCE


Published: Wednesday March 27, 2024 @ 11:43 EDT
Duration: 10.90 minutes
Views: 347
Likes: 11
Favorite: 0
Description: Richard Snow reveals all the latest news, from the stability of the dollar to the rise of gold amidst geopolitical tensions. Discover why cocoa is outperforming cryptocurrencies and Nvidia, and how oil storage data is affecting traders' decisions. Keep an eye on the Japanese yen as authorities consider intervention, and don't miss out on the upcoming GDP data for the UK and US. With the highly anticipated PCE inflation data on the horizon, this video is a must-watch for anyone interested in the financial markets.
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BoJ Exits Negative Rates but JPY Falters, USD Bid on Rate Cut Pushback


Published: Tuesday March 19, 2024 @ 09:44 EDT
Duration: 11.92 minutes
Views: 582
Likes: 11
Favorite: 0
Description: The Bank of Japan raised interest rates out of negative territory but maintains a lot of its accommodative measures to support the economy. USD continues higher as markets delay first rate cut to July.


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Central Bank Bonanza: The Fed, RBA, BoJ and BoE to Provide Policy Updates


Published: Friday March 15, 2024 @ 12:17 EDT
Duration: 23.78 minutes
Views: 370
Likes: 10
Favorite: 0
Description: The Fed will release updated projections as a recent uptick in inflation and commodities emerge. Other central banks are set to hold and the BoJ with a chance of a surprise in the wake of encouraging wage data.


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Gold Continues to Shine FX Markets Await Crucial Japanese Wage Data


Published: Thursday March 14, 2024 @ 09:44 EDT
Duration: 14.78 minutes
Views: 273
Likes: 10
Favorite: 0
Description: Gold holds above the prior high, hinting at a bullish continuation while FX markets look ahead to crucial Japanese wage data that comes just in time for next week's BoJ meeting. Join Richard Snow from DailyFX for an insider look at the week's pivotal economic events. Discover the latest insights on US inflation, ECB monetary policy, gold and Bitcoin hitting all-time highs, and more. Learn about potential shifts in interest rates, oil prices, global indices, and the impact of wage negotiations in Japan. Uncover key factors influencing the dollar, euro, and yen pairs in the forex market. Stay ahead of the curve with expert analysis to navigate the ever-changing financial landscape

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Gold Surges to New All-Time High as Markets Hone in on Cuts


Published: Tuesday March 05, 2024 @ 10:09 EST
Duration: 12.93 minutes
Views: 610
Likes: 18
Favorite: 0
Description: Gold, like Bitcoin, has experienced a sharp rise and managed to achieve a new all-time high on Tuesday as markets eye June rate cut.


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ECB Kickstarts Central Bank Meetings for March, NFP up Next


Published: Friday March 01, 2024 @ 10:14 EST
Duration: 14.45 minutes
Views: 316
Likes: 13
Favorite: 0
Description: PCE data was upstaged by Hawkish sentiment from the BoJ this last week but looking ahead, we get monetary policy updates from the ECB and BoC, with the week culminating in US non-farm payrolls.

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Markets Tread Water Ahead of US Data Releases


Published: Tuesday February 27, 2024 @ 08:56 EST
Duration: 14.62 minutes
Views: 283
Likes: 8
Favorite: 0
Description: Risk markets remain slightly better bid as the latest US inflation Report (PCE) nears. Dive into the potential rise in interest rates in Japan, the looming recession in Germany, and the fluctuating values of major currencies like the US dollar, euro, and pound. Explore the exciting world of cryptocurrency with rising Bitcoin and Ethereum prices, fueled by anticipation for upcoming events. Brace yourself for upcoming data releases on durable goods and consumer confidence from the US, along with insights from central bank speakers.


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Japanese Inflation in Focus as USD/JPY Tests Tokyo's Resolve


Published: Monday February 26, 2024 @ 09:33 EST
Duration: 18.47 minutes
Views: 315
Likes: 10
Favorite: 0
Description: This week US growth and inflation are likely to steal the show but late on Monday Japanese inflation will either embolden or raise doubts around the BoJ's assessment of rising inflation as USD/JPY trades above 150.00.


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